Friday, July 22, 2016

Yen off 6-week low after "helicopter money" mania shot down

The yen hovered above six-week lows on Friday after comments from Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda dented speculation Japan may be preparing a radical "helicopter money" economic stimulus.
The yen bounced back to 105.88 yen per dollar from 107.49, its six-week low against the U.S. currency touched on Thursday.The rebound was triggered by Kuroda's comments on a BBC Radio 4 interview on Thursday playing down the idea of helicopter money, essentially a policy of injecting cash directly to the economy in some form by printing money.
With Prime Minister Shinzo Abe crafting a massive spending package worth about $190 billion to bolster the economy, some speculators had bet the BOJ could be financing the additional spending - likened by economists to dropping large amounts of cash from a helicopter.
The BBC later said its interview with Kuroda had been conducted in mid-June, helping to cool the yen's gains.Certainly his comments have not dispelled expectations of easing. I suspect a rough consensus in the market is increase in buying of ETFs and REITs as well as 0.10 percentage point cut in interest rates," said Koichi Takamatsu, head of forex at Nomura Securities.
Few market players take Kuroda's words at face value after he introduced negative interest rates in January only days after he said publicly that he was not considering such measures.
A small number of market players, however, think the BOJ may opt to ease later to keep its dwindling fire power.
"I think the BOJ is more likely to ease in November when the government's supplementary budget will be ready, rather than now. I'm not sure if the BOJ feels it needs to act now, when even the Bank of England has not eased," said Minori Uchida, chief currency analyst at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.

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